Lux report sees graphene's future no better than CNTs'
Lux Research recently came out with a rather menacing prediction that graphene is destined to become the "next carbon nanotube". This statement refers to the massive hype that surrounded carbon nanotubes in the past, which failed to be followed by actual commercial success. Lux Research believes that graphene, despite its impressive properties and seemingly endless possibilities, will not follow in silicon's footsteps and find ubiquitous applications, but rather become closer to carbon nanotubes and find limited uses in somewhat niche markets.
Lux names three major reasons for their prediction. The first is over-aggressive capacity expansions coupled with limited commercial demand. Lux states that total global graphene nanoplatelet (GNP) production capacity has increased from around 120 tons per year in 2012 to 910 tons per year today, driven largely by aggressive Chinese capacity expansions such as by Ningbo Morsh and Xiamen Knano. On the contrary, demand growth has been significantly more sluggish, which creates a market glut.